Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.230635 0.247909 0.266180 0.287002 0.310140 0.335143 0.364310
2025-12-14 0.199249 0.223753 0.251309 0.284842 0.324879 0.371583 0.430827
2025-12-21 0.177199 0.204853 0.237263 0.278538 0.330424 0.394485 0.481185
2025-12-28 0.166934 0.197698 0.235024 0.284459 0.349485 0.434012 0.555573
2026-01-04 0.157846 0.190657 0.231624 0.287698 0.364389 0.468707 0.627244
2026-01-11 0.149205 0.183206 0.226690 0.287906 0.374517 0.497179 0.693241
2026-01-18 0.139877 0.174037 0.218585 0.282763 0.376171 0.513074 0.741734
2026-01-25 0.130841 0.164587 0.209314 0.275016 0.372979 0.520895 0.777768
2026-02-01 0.123835 0.157395 0.202565 0.270168 0.373355 0.533799 0.823563
2026-02-08 0.117218 0.150331 0.195503 0.264229 0.371347 0.542374 0.862611
2026-02-15 0.111818 0.144646 0.190013 0.260146 0.371717 0.554608 0.909808
2026-02-22 0.108949 0.142337 0.189172 0.262930 0.383133 0.586468 0.999375
2026-03-01 0.104892 0.138249 0.185667 0.261607 0.388116 0.608443 1.075145
2026-03-08 0.101154 0.134460 0.182422 0.260499 0.393429 0.631802 1.159050
2026-03-15 0.096578 0.129226 0.176715 0.255022 0.390656 0.639644 1.210213
2026-03-22 0.095061 0.128403 0.177609 0.260274 0.407119 0.686256 1.361339
2026-03-29 0.093068 0.126759 0.177120 0.263140 0.419462 0.726268 1.506875
2026-04-05 0.090592 0.124264 0.175150 0.263324 0.426774 0.756787 1.636014
2026-04-12 0.087228 0.120272 0.170615 0.258775 0.424644 0.766784 1.711291
2026-04-19 0.083569 0.115696 0.164947 0.251917 0.417474 0.764847 1.751802
2026-04-26 0.080665 0.112187 0.160857 0.247620 0.415011 0.773231 1.826002
2026-05-03 0.077724 0.108521 0.156363 0.242352 0.410195 0.775649 1.882518
2026-05-10 0.075272 0.105544 0.152883 0.238727 0.408436 0.785070 1.964978